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Zscaler, Inc. Convertible Notes Strategy Fuels AI Growth Amid Premium Valuation | Monexa AI

by monexa-ai

Zscaler's $1.5B convertible notes support AI and federal expansion, sustaining premium valuation amid strong revenue growth and strategic acquisitions.

Corporate office building with digital security and AI elements, purple minimalist background

Corporate office building with digital security and AI elements, purple minimalist background

Introduction: Zscaler's $1.5 Billion Convertible Notes Offering Signals Strategic Growth Push#

In June 2025, Zscaler, Inc. made a notable strategic financial move by issuing $1.5 billion in 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2028. This sizable capital raise aims to bolster the company’s ambitious growth initiatives in AI development, federal market expansion, and strategic acquisitions, while maintaining a strong capital structure without immediate interest expenses. The timing and scale of this offering are critical as Zscaler positions itself to capitalize on accelerating demand for cloud-native cybersecurity solutions in a competitive market.

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This capital infusion aligns with Zscaler’s goal of reaching $5 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR), a benchmark underscoring its growth ambitions in Secure Access Service Edge (SASE), Security Service Edge (SSE), and Zero Trust security segments.

Strategic Allocation of Convertible Notes Proceeds: AI, Federal Expansion, and Acquisitions#

Zscaler plans to allocate approximately $171 million of the proceeds towards capped call transactions designed to mitigate shareholder dilution risks. The remaining $1.33 billion is earmarked for general corporate purposes, including working capital, capital expenditures, and potential acquisitions. While exact allocations toward AI and federal contracts are not explicitly detailed, these areas are expected to benefit significantly from this capital through technology investments and expansion efforts.

Acquisitions remain a vital lever in Zscaler’s growth strategy. The recent acquisition of Red Canary, which enhances AI-driven threat detection capabilities, exemplifies this approach. The infusion of capital is expected to support similar strategic acquisitions that strengthen Zscaler’s AI offerings and federal cybersecurity footprint.

General corporate purposes, including R&D investments and infrastructure scaling, are also critical to maintaining Zscaler's competitive edge, especially as it integrates AI into its security platform and expands into government cybersecurity contracts.

Financial Implications: Dilution Management and Capital Structure Strength#

The convertible notes bear a 0% coupon, meaning Zscaler avoids immediate interest expenses, preserving cash flow for operational investments. However, the notes introduce dilution risk if the stock price surpasses the conversion price, currently set at approximately $439.52 per share—a 40% premium over the June 30, 2025 closing price.

To address this, Zscaler executed capped call transactions with a cap price near $784.85 per share, effectively limiting the number of shares that could be issued upon conversion and protecting existing shareholders from excessive dilution in the event of a stock price surge.

From a balance sheet perspective, Zscaler maintains a robust liquidity position with $2.41 billion in cash and short-term investments as of July 31, 2024. The company's net debt is negative (-$185 million), underscoring strong financial flexibility to fund growth initiatives without jeopardizing its capital structure.

Convertible Notes and Shareholder Value Preservation#

The capped call transactions are a sophisticated financial engineering tool that balances capital raising needs with shareholder interests. By capping dilution potential, Zscaler ensures that the convertible notes serve as a strategic growth enabler without compromising shareholder value, which is crucial given its premium valuation context.

Market Valuation and Competitive Positioning: Justifying a Premium in Cybersecurity#

Zscaler's valuation remains elevated, with a trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio near 18.89x and forward P/S estimates around 15.56x, reflecting strong investor confidence in its growth prospects. This premium positioning is supported by high gross margins exceeding 77.9% and robust ARR growth rates, with Q3 FY2025 ARR reported at $2.9 billion, up 23% year-over-year.

Compared to peers like Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike, Zscaler's valuation multiples are on par or higher, justified by its differentiated cloud-native architecture and leadership in Zero Trust and SASE/SSE markets.

The company’s integration of AI into its security platform, combined with an entrenched position in federal cybersecurity contracts, further solidifies its competitive moat. Analyst targets, such as UBS’s $365 price target, signal sustained market confidence.

Growth Catalysts: AI Integration, Federal Contracts, and Market Expansion#

Zscaler’s strategic growth drivers include:

  • AI-Driven Security Enhancements: Incorporating AI to automate threat detection and response elevates product differentiation and operational efficiency.
  • Federal Market Penetration: Serving 14 of 15 cabinet-level federal agencies positions Zscaler for lucrative, long-term contracts that contribute to ARR stability and margin expansion.
  • Market Share Gains in SASE/SSE: Continued adoption of cloud-native security and acquisitions like Red Canary fuel expansion in these rapidly growing segments.
  • Zero Trust Everywhere Strategy: Embedding security across all data flows and users aligns with enterprise and government priorities, enhancing stickiness and upsell potential.

These factors collectively underpin Zscaler’s premium valuation and support its trajectory toward $5 billion ARR.

Financial Performance Analysis: Improving Margins and Cash Flow#

Zscaler's fiscal 2024 results demonstrate meaningful progress toward profitability:

Metric Fiscal 2024 Fiscal 2023 Change (%)
Revenue $2.17B $1.62B +34.07%
Gross Profit $1.69B $1.25B +35.20%
Operating Income -$121.48MM -$234.62MM +48.20%
Net Income -$57.71MM -$202.34MM +71.48%
EBITDA $64.79MM -$76.72MM +184.49%
Gross Margin Ratio 77.99% 77.56% +0.43ppt
Operating Margin Ratio -5.6% -14.51% +8.91ppt
Net Margin Ratio -2.66% -12.51% +9.85ppt

The company’s revenue growth of +34.07% year-over-year is complemented by a substantial reduction in net losses and a swing to positive EBITDA, signaling improving operational efficiency and leveraging scale.

Free cash flow surged to $584.95 million in FY 2024, up +75.33% from the previous year, supported by strong operating cash flow of $779.85 million and disciplined capital expenditures ($194.9 million). This robust cash generation enhances strategic flexibility for investments and acquisitions.

What Drives Zscaler’s Premium Valuation Despite Historical Losses?#

Zscaler's premium valuation is rooted in its market leadership and growth potential rather than current profitability. The company invests nearly 25% of revenue in research and development, significantly above industry norms, fueling innovation in AI-enhanced cybersecurity solutions. This investment supports its "Zero Trust Everywhere" model, which is gaining traction across enterprise and government sectors.

The company’s strategic focus on federal contracts—serving the majority of cabinet-level agencies—provides a stable, high-margin revenue stream that underpins ARR growth and valuation multiples.

The cybersecurity sector is intensely competitive, with established players such as Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, Cisco, and Microsoft aggressively expanding AI and Zero Trust capabilities. Zscaler’s cloud-native architecture and AI integration provide differentiation but also require continuous innovation to maintain leadership.

Industry trends emphasize Zero Trust security frameworks and AI-driven threat intelligence, both central to Zscaler’s strategy. The acceleration of digital transformation and cloud adoption continues to expand the addressable market for SASE and SSE solutions.

What This Means For Investors#

Investors should view Zscaler’s $1.5 billion convertible notes offering as a strategic enabler for sustained growth. The capital infusion supports ambitious ARR targets, AI innovation, federal market expansion, and acquisitions, all critical to maintaining competitive positioning and justifying premium valuation multiples.

While Zscaler is still navigating losses, improving margins, positive EBITDA, and strong free cash flow signal progress toward profitability. The company’s disciplined approach to dilution risk through capped call transactions further protects shareholder value.

Risks include intense competition, execution on growth initiatives, and valuation sustainability. However, Zscaler’s strong balance sheet, market leadership, and strategic initiatives position it well for long-term value creation.

Key Takeaways#

  1. Zscaler’s $1.5 billion 0.00% convertible notes offering provides significant liquidity to fuel AI and federal market growth without immediate interest costs.
  2. Capital allocation emphasizes strategic acquisitions, R&D, and general corporate purposes aligned with the $5 billion ARR target.
  3. Capped call transactions mitigate dilution risk, protecting shareholder value amid premium valuation.
  4. Fiscal 2024 financials show robust revenue growth (+34.07%), margin improvements, and positive free cash flow generation.
  5. Market valuation reflects leadership in cloud-native Zero Trust and SASE/SSE markets, supported by AI integration and federal contracts.
  6. Competitive pressures remain intense; continuous innovation and execution are critical for sustaining growth and valuation.

Financial Performance Summary Table#

Metric FY 2024 FY 2023 FY 2022 FY 2021
Revenue $2.17B $1.62B $1.09B $673.1MM
Operating Income -$121.48MM -$234.62MM -$327.43MM -$207.81MM
Net Income -$57.71MM -$202.34MM -$390.28MM -$262.03MM
EBITDA $64.79MM -$76.72MM -$277.58MM -$167.36MM
Gross Margin Ratio 77.99% 77.56% 77.79% 77.67%
Operating Margin Ratio -5.6% -14.51% -30.01% -30.87%
Net Margin Ratio -2.66% -12.51% -35.77% -38.93%

Forward Estimates Snapshot#

Fiscal Year Estimated Revenue Estimated EPS Number of Analysts (Revenue/EPS)
2025 $2.66B $3.19 29 / 29
2026 $3.20B $3.65 35 / 26
2027 $3.85B $4.45 32 / 13
2028 $4.63B $6.22 26 / 6
2029 $5.41B $6.68 16 / 5

These forward estimates indicate strong double-digit revenue and EPS growth, reflecting optimism about Zscaler’s strategic execution and market expansion.

Conclusion#

Zscaler's recent convertible notes issuance is a strategic financial maneuver aimed at accelerating its leadership in AI-driven cybersecurity and federal market penetration. Supported by improving financial metrics, robust cash flow, and a strong balance sheet, the company is well-positioned to sustain its premium valuation amid competitive pressures.

Investors should monitor execution on growth initiatives, competitive dynamics, and valuation trends, as these will critically influence Zscaler's long-term market positioning and financial performance.


References#

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