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Equitable Holdings (EQH): Dividend Strategy, RGA Deal, and Market Impact

by monexa-ai

Equitable Holdings (EQH) navigates strategic shifts with a focus on dividends, reinsurance, and its AllianceBernstein partnership. A data-driven analysis for investors.

Equitable Holdings (EQH) dividend strategy, RGA reinsurance deal, and AllianceBernstein (AB) stake analysis. Insights on sustainability, growth, EPS, ROE, hedging, and market performance.

Equitable Holdings (EQH) dividend strategy, RGA reinsurance deal, and AllianceBernstein (AB) stake analysis. Insights on sustainability, growth, EPS, ROE, hedging, and market performance.

Equitable Holdings: A Deep Dive into Dividend Strategy and Market Impact#

Equitable Holdings, Inc. (EQH) is capturing investor attention with its financial services offerings, including life insurance, retirement planning, and asset management. Recent recognition as a potentially strong dividend stock has investors closely examining the company's financial health, strategic initiatives, and market performance. With a focus on long-term value creation, EQH has been actively managing its capital structure and strategically shifting its business mix to enhance profitability and shareholder returns. However, EQH experienced a -1.96% drop, trading at $43.98, with a market capitalization of $13.49 billion, indicating potential investor concerns. The company's earnings per share (EPS) is $3.78, resulting in a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.63.

EQH Dividend Analysis: Sustainability and Growth Potential#

EQH's dividend strategy is a key factor in its appeal to investors. The company's current dividend yield stands at 2.18%, with an annualized dividend of $0.96 per share, according to Monexa AI. This is particularly attractive when compared to the Insurance - Multi line industry's average yield of 1.56% and the S&P 500's yield of 1.73% Zacks.com. Moreover, EQH has demonstrated a commitment to increasing its dividend, with five increases in the last five years, averaging an annual increase of 9.51%.

The sustainability of EQH's dividend is supported by a relatively low payout ratio of 29.23%, based on Monexa AI data. This indicates that the company retains a significant portion of its earnings, providing a buffer for maintaining dividend payments even during periods of market volatility. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 EPS is $7.16, representing a year-over-year growth rate of 20.24%. This projected earnings growth provides ample room for future dividend increases Zacks.com.

Twelve ratings firms give EQH an average rating of "Moderate Buy", with an average twelve-month price objective of $60.75, suggesting confidence in the company's future performance and potential for capital appreciation alongside dividend income Zacks.com.

Dividend Yield Comparison#

Metric Equitable Holdings (EQH) Insurance - Multi line Industry S&P 500
Dividend Yield 2.18% 1.56% 1.73%
Annualized Dividend $0.96 N/A N/A

Analyzing the Sustainability of Equitable's Dividend Payout Ratio#

The sustainability of EQH's dividend payout ratio is crucial for investors seeking reliable income. With a payout ratio of 29.23%, EQH retains a significant portion of its earnings, allowing for reinvestment in the business and potential future dividend increases. This conservative payout ratio provides a cushion against potential earnings fluctuations, ensuring that the company can maintain its dividend payments even during periods of economic uncertainty.

Furthermore, EQH's strategic shift towards fee-based businesses, such as wealth and asset management, is expected to improve the stability and predictability of its earnings. These businesses generate recurring revenue streams, reducing the company's reliance on volatile insurance premiums and investment income. This diversification of revenue sources enhances the sustainability of EQH's dividend payout ratio and supports long-term dividend growth.

Reinsurance Game Changer: How the RGA Deal Impacts Equitable's EPS and ROE#

The reinsurance agreement between Equitable Holdings and RGA Reinsurance Company is a transformative transaction expected to have a significant impact on EQH's financial performance. Under the agreement, EQH will reinsure 75% of its in-force individual life insurance block to RGA, generating over $2 billion in value for EQH through a positive ceding commission and capital release.

While the deal is expected to result in a GAAP net loss and reduction in book value at closing (mid-2025), it is projected to have a limited impact on Non-GAAP operating earnings and cash generation. More importantly, the transaction is expected to be accretive to Non-GAAP operating earnings per share (EPS) after capital redeployment. RGA anticipates approximately $70 million in adjusted operating income before taxes in 2025 (assuming mid-year close), increasing to $160-$170 million in 2026 and about $200 million per year over time.

EQH intends to redeploy the capital released through the reinsurance deal by increasing its ownership stake in AllianceBernstein (AB) through a $1.8 billion tender offer and executing $500 million in incremental share repurchases. This capital redeployment strategy is expected to further enhance EQH's EPS and return on equity (ROE).

AllianceBernstein and Equitable: Strategic Alignment or Conflict?#

EQH's relationship with AllianceBernstein (AB) is a key aspect of its overall strategy. AB manages a significant portion of EQH's assets, with approximately $132 billion under management. EQH's seed capital investments have enabled AB to scale new investment platforms, and AB has developed strong insurance expertise, managing over $180 billion of assets for more than 80 insurance clients.

To further strengthen this strategic alignment, EQH launched a cash tender offer to acquire additional units of AllianceBernstein Holding LP. The tender offer, which concluded on April 1, 2025, resulted in EQH purchasing 19,682,946 units at $38.50 per unit, increasing its economic interest in AllianceBernstein L.P. to approximately 68.6% Businesswire.com.

While the increased ownership stake in AB is expected to enhance synergies and improve financial performance for both companies, it also raises potential conflicts of interest. As the majority owner of AB, EQH could potentially influence AB's investment decisions in a way that benefits EQH's interests, potentially at the expense of other AB unitholders. However, both companies have implemented governance structures and policies to mitigate these potential conflicts.

Capital Redeployment: AllianceBernstein Stake and Share Repurchases#

EQH's capital redeployment strategy involves increasing its ownership stake in AllianceBernstein through a tender offer and executing share repurchases. The $1.8 billion tender offer for AllianceBernstein units aims to consolidate EQH's control over the asset manager, allowing for greater strategic alignment and synergy realization.

In addition to the tender offer, EQH plans to execute $500 million in incremental share repurchases. These share repurchases will reduce the number of outstanding shares, increasing EPS and ROE, and returning capital to shareholders. This capital redeployment strategy demonstrates EQH's commitment to enhancing shareholder value and optimizing its capital structure.

Navigating Volatility: Equitable's Hedging Strategies Examined#

EQH's variable annuity and life insurance product sales are sensitive to changes in interest rates and market volatility. To mitigate these risks, EQH employs a range of hedging strategies designed to protect its capital and earnings.

EQH's RILA (Registered Index-Linked Annuity) sales have been strong, and the company uses hedging arrangements to absorb most of the market risk related to these products. EQH's CFO has stated that their exposure to stock market and interest rate risk is much lower than typical variable annuity issuers due to reinsurance and hedging. AM Best has affirmed Equitable Life Group's ratings, noting their dynamic hedging strategy to support its VA liabilities Businesswire.com. A 2024 article noted that aging populations and geopolitical uncertainty are boosting demand for buffered annuities.

These hedging strategies involve the use of various financial instruments, such as options, futures, and swaps, to offset potential losses from adverse market movements. By actively managing its risk exposures, EQH aims to maintain stable earnings and protect its capital base.

Hedging Strategies: Mitigating Market Risks#

EQH's hedging strategies are crucial for mitigating market risks and ensuring the stability of its earnings. The company employs a dynamic hedging strategy, adjusting its hedging positions in response to changing market conditions. This proactive approach allows EQH to effectively manage its risk exposures and protect its capital base.

The hedging arrangements in place absorb most of the RILA-related market risk. By actively managing its risk exposures, EQH aims to maintain stable earnings and protect its capital base, even during periods of market volatility.

EQH Stock Performance: A Comparative Analysis with the Financial Sector#

EQH's stock performance is closely tied to the overall health of the financial sector. Analyzing the historical correlation between EQH's stock price and the performance of the broader financial services sector, as represented by the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF), provides valuable insights into the company's market dynamics.

While the exact correlation coefficient isn't explicitly stated, EQH's beta of 1.23 suggests that it is more volatile than the market. This means that EQH's stock price tends to fluctuate more than the overall market, both in positive and negative directions. The XLF has an R-squared of 0.73 and beta of 1.29.

Recently, Equitable Holdings' stock price has experienced a significant drop. As of April 4, 2025, EQH's stock was down 10.18%. On April 9, 2025, EQH was trading down 0.6%. This recent decline may be attributed to various factors, including broader market concerns, company-specific news, or a combination of both.

Equitable Holdings: Strategic Outlook and Future Growth Drivers#

Equitable Holdings is strategically positioned for future growth, with a focus on fee-based businesses, capital efficiency, and shareholder value creation. The company's strategic shift towards wealth and asset management, coupled with its reinsurance deal with RGA and increased ownership stake in AllianceBernstein, is expected to drive long-term earnings growth and capital returns.

Key growth drivers for Equitable Holdings include:

  • Continued growth in RILA sales, driven by aging populations and market volatility.
  • Capital redeployment into higher-return segments following the RGA reinsurance deal.
  • Synergies with AllianceBernstein through increased ownership and asset management collaboration.
  • Effective hedging strategies to mitigate risks associated with variable annuities and market volatility.
  • Strong dividend yield and potential for future dividend increases.

However, Equitable Holdings also faces challenges, including sensitivity to changes in interest rates and market volatility, potential conflicts of interest arising from the relationship with AllianceBernstein, and integration risks associated with capital redeployment and strategic shifts.

What does this mean for investors?#

Equitable Holdings' strategic moves, particularly the reinsurance deal and increased stake in AllianceBernstein, signal a focus on long-term growth and capital efficiency. While the stock's recent dip warrants caution, the company's commitment to dividends and effective hedging strategies could make it an attractive option for value-oriented investors. However, potential conflicts of interest and market volatility remain key risks to monitor.