12 min read

Apple Inc. (AAPL): Earnings, Cash Flow and the Strategic India Pivot

by monexa-ai

Apple posted **FY2024 revenue of $391.04B** with +2.02% YoY growth while executing a major India manufacturing shift for iPhone 17 that reshapes tariff exposure and supply‑chain risk.

Logo on frosted glass, India factories with US shipping routes, tariff icons, resilient supply chain links in purple tones

Logo on frosted glass, India factories with US shipping routes, tariff icons, resilient supply chain links in purple tones

Opening — Numbers First: small top‑line gain, large strategic pivot#

Apple reported FY2024 revenue of $391.04B with net income of $93.74B, a +2.02% year‑over‑year revenue increase and a -3.36% decline in net income versus FY2023. The balance sheet shows total assets of $364.98B, total stockholders’ equity of $56.95B, and fiscal year free cash flow of $108.81B. At the same time, Apple has staged an operational pivot: the company produced the entire iPhone 17 initial run in India for its U.S. debut, materially reducing tariff exposure and accelerating diversification away from China Hindustan Times, Tech in Asia, India Today.

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This combination — modest organic revenue growth, very strong cash generation, and an explicit production shift to India — is the single most important development shaping Apple’s near‑term investment story. The numbers are sourced from Apple’s FY2024 financials and the company’s public reporting; the India manufacturing shift is supported by multiple industry reports cited above and summarized in the research draft provided to Monexa AI.

Financial performance: steady cash generation, mixed margin signals#

Apple’s FY2024 income statement shows a classic large‑technology profile: high margins and powerful cash conversion. From the raw fiscal figures we calculate a gross margin of 46.21% (gross profit $180.68B / revenue $391.04B), an operating margin of 31.51% (operating income $123.22B / revenue), and a net margin of 23.97% (net income $93.74B / revenue). Free cash flow (FCF) in FY2024 was $108.81B, yielding an FCF margin of 27.84%, while operating cash flow was $118.25B or 30.24% of revenue. These calculations are derived from the fiscal line items filed for FY2024 (accepted 2024‑11‑01) and cross‑checked against Apple's investor disclosures (see Apple investor relations).

Year‑over‑year dynamics are modest but instructive. Revenue rose +2.02% from FY2023 to FY2024, while net income fell -3.36%. The divergence between top‑line growth and compressed net income reflects both mix effects and the timing of investments and capital allocation decisions during the year. Operating income nevertheless expanded in absolute dollars to $123.22B, preserving a robust operating margin above 31%.

Quality of earnings looks high on a cash basis. Operating cash flow exceeded net income by roughly $24.51B, indicating strong non‑cash addbacks (depreciation and amortization ~$11.45B) and working capital tailwinds. Free cash flow of $108.81B is a particularly important figure because Apple used it heavily for shareholder returns: in FY2024 the company repurchased $94.95B of common stock and paid $15.23B in dividends (payments and buybacks are line items in the cash‑flow statement).

Table 1 — Income statement summary (FY2021–FY2024)#

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD) Gross Profit (USD) Operating Income (USD) Net Income (USD) Gross Margin
2024 391.04B 180.68B 123.22B 93.74B 46.21%
2023 383.29B 169.15B 114.30B 97.00B 44.13%
2022 394.33B 170.78B 119.44B 99.80B 43.31%
2021 365.82B 152.84B 108.95B 94.68B 41.78%

The table shows that Apple widened gross margins in FY2024 to 46.21%, continuing a multi‑year trend of expanding product and services mix and cost discipline. Net margin slipped from FY2023, but cash conversion remained strong.

Balance sheet and leverage: strong assets, definitional mismatches#

Apple’s year‑end balance sheet (FY2024) lists total assets $364.98B, total liabilities $308.03B, and total stockholders’ equity $56.95B. Cash and short‑term investments aggregate to $65.17B (cash and equivalents $29.94B; short‑term investments implied in the cash/short line). Total debt is reported as $119.06B.

Using the fiscal line items, we calculate net debt as total debt minus cash & short‑term investments: $119.06B - $65.17B = $53.89B. This computed net debt differs materially from a net‑debt figure listed elsewhere in the dataset (reported net debt $89.12B). When presented with conflicting figures we prioritize direct arithmetic from line‑item balances (total debt and cash/short investments) and note that differences commonly arise from alternate definitions (for example, inclusion of lease liabilities, different short‑term investment categories, or the use of average balances). Our calculated net debt of $53.89B implies a conservative leverage posture when measured against EBITDA and cash flow.

Current liquidity measures show a current ratio of 0.87x (current assets $152.99B / current liabilities $176.39B), confirming a below‑1.0 ratio characteristic of large platform companies that run capital‑efficient working capital cycles. Using year‑end book equity, the raw debt‑to‑equity ratio is 209.10% (total debt $119.06B / equity $56.95B). This arithmetic differs from a presented TTM debt‑to‑equity figure of 154.49% in the dataset; again this reflects differing definitions (TTM averages, inclusion/exclusion of certain liabilities). We flag these definitional mismatches and proceed with the line‑item calculations for clarity.

Table 2 — Balance sheet & cash‑flow highlights (FY2021–FY2024)#

Fiscal Year Cash & Short Investments Total Debt Net Debt (calc) Free Cash Flow Repurchases Dividends
2024 65.17B 119.06B 53.89B 108.81B 94.95B 15.23B
2023 61.55B 123.93B 62.38B 99.58B 77.55B 15.03B
2022 48.30B 132.48B 84.18B 111.44B 89.40B 14.84B
2021 62.64B 136.52B 73.88B 92.95B 85.97B 14.47B

From this table we derive two actionable observations. First, Apple’s capital allocation remains heavily weighted toward buybacks: in FY2024 repurchases consumed ~87.29% of free cash flow (94.95 / 108.81), and combined dividents + buybacks slightly exceeded FCF. Second, despite heavy capital returns, Apple maintained a strong free cash flow stream and reduced calculated net debt versus some prior years, preserving balance‑sheet optionality for strategic investments.

Earnings quality and capital allocation: real cash, heavy returns#

Earnings quality looks robust because net income is supported by strong operating cash flow. The FY2024 operating cash flow of $118.25B versus net income $93.74B indicates healthy non‑cash adjustments and working capital dynamics that added cash. Depreciation & amortization was $11.45B, a normal level for Apple’s scale. Importantly, Apple’s capital allocation is consistent and large in magnitude: the company repurchased nearly $95B of stock in FY2024 and paid $15.23B in dividends, aligning with management’s long‑standing policy to return excess cash to shareholders.

A closer look at payout ratios using fiscal arithmetic shows dividends paid divided by net income equals ~16.25% (15.23 / 93.74), slightly above the dataset's reported payout figure of 15.47% (differences due to share‑based calculations). The takeaway is clear: Apple’s dividend is a small fraction of earnings while buybacks are the dominant mechanism of return.

Strategic transformation: India manufacturing shift for iPhone 17#

Parallel to the financial story is a major strategic move: Apple has shifted initial iPhone 17 production for U.S. launch to India. Industry reporting — including Hindustan Times, Tech in Asia and India Today — documents that Apple manufactured all four iPhone 17 models in India for the initial global debut and U.S. sales Hindustan Times, Tech in Asia, India Today. The move is not symbolic: public and industry estimates put India’s share of Apple production at roughly 20% as of March 2025 and India supplied 44% of U.S. smartphone shipments in Q2 2025 versus China at 25% (industry reporting cited in the research draft).

Why it matters financially: producing U.S.‑bound iPhones in India materially reduces direct tariff exposure on China‑origin goods and lowers the downside risk from abrupt policy actions. In a scenario with tariffs or export controls on China‑made electronics, Apple would face incremental landed costs and potential price increases that could compress volumes or margins. By shifting production, Apple reduces that asymmetric downside while absorbing near‑term transition costs (capital investment, training, supplier onboarding) that are modest relative to its free cash flow capacity.

From a timing and scale perspective, Apple’s stated target — assembling all iPhones sold in the U.S. in India by end‑2026 — is an aggressive operational objective but plausible given the pace of supplier investment and capacity expansion by Foxconn and local partners such as the Tata Group Tech in Asia. The strategic benefit is both operational (avoiding tariffs) and political: it reduces U.S. policy pressure by aligning manufacturing footprint with U.S. market priorities.

Competitive dynamics and operational risks in India expansion#

Apple’s pivot to India shifts the competitive landscape in subtle ways. For suppliers and contract manufacturers, India becomes a site of accelerating investment: Foxconn brings process expertise and scale while local conglomerates like Tata help localize components and logistics. This combination reduces ramp risk. However, India still trails China on supplier density, logistics sophistication and port throughput; these operational gaps can increase component lead times and raise short‑term unit costs.

Operational challenges include workforce skill development for high‑precision assembly, strengthening port and road logistics for high‑volume exports, and localizing critical component suppliers. Apple’s model — transferring standardized processes, embedding experienced managers, and co‑investing in supplier development — mitigates these risks but requires upfront capital and time. Near‑term margin compression is possible during the ramp; medium‑term margin neutrality or slight improvement is plausible once scale and local content rise and tariff avoidance benefits are realized.

Reconciling dataset inconsistencies — a note on definitions#

While analyzing the provided financials we encountered several definitional mismatches. Examples include: (1) an EPS value of $7.26 in the stock quote versus a TTM net income per share of $6.66 in the fundamentals; (2) a reported net debt figure of $89.12B in the dataset versus our line‑item calculation of $53.89B; and (3) differing debt‑to‑equity ratios (dataset TTM 154.49% vs our 209.10% arithmetic using year‑end balances). These differences typically arise from varying denominators (TTM vs fiscal year), differing definitions (gross debt vs total debt including leases), or use of average equity across the year rather than year‑end equity. For transparency we present raw calculations alongside the dataset’s TTM metrics and prioritize line‑item arithmetic when presenting a reconciled balance‑sheet view.

Historical context and management execution#

Apple’s FY2024 results fit a multi‑year pattern: consistent revenue around the high‑$300B–$400B range, margins sustained above 30% operating, and predictable, large buybacks. Historically Apple has converted much of its operating profit into shareholder returns while investing selectively in capex and R&D. The India manufacturing pivot represents a tactical execution that resembles prior supply‑chain shifts (gradual footprint diversification) but on an accelerated timeline and with clearer policy motivations. Management’s track record in delivering product launches on time and scaling supplier ecosystems lends credibility to the India objective, though execution risk is non‑trivial.

What this means for investors#

Apple’s profile combines a high‑margin operating model with large free cash flow and an active capital‑return program. Three investor implications are central.

First, cash generation is the stabilizer. Apple produced $108.81B of free cash flow in FY2024, which funds buybacks, dividends and strategic investment without stressing the balance sheet. The company’s capacity to allocate capital remains very strong even after large share repurchases.

Second, the India pivot materially reduces asymmetric downside from tariffs and geopolitical disruption. Producing U.S.‑bound iPhones in India is a risk‑management move that limits the probability of sudden margin shocks from import duties or export controls. This operational de‑risking is valuable insurance and a durable strategic asset.

Third, near‑term unit economics may be mixed. Transitioning production creates one‑time and short‑term recurring costs — supplier onboarding, duplicated inventory, training and logistics — that can compress margins. Over the medium term the combination of avoided tariff costs and scale efficiencies in India can offset these headwinds. Investors should therefore separate short‑term margin noise from structural de‑risking benefits.

Forward‑looking considerations (data‑anchored)#

Apple’s forward PE estimates embedded in the dataset show a modest multiple contraction over the medium term (forward PEs: 2025 31.2x, 2026 28.35x, 2027 27.75x), reflecting analyst assumptions about earnings growth and interest‑rate normalization. The dataset’s consensus revenue path (2025 estimated revenue $414.89B, rising to $483.09B by 2029) implies a modest revenue CAGR that, coupled with disciplined margin preservation, supports steady cash flow growth. Key catalysts to watch that will materially affect realized outcomes include the speed of India supplier localization (which affects per‑unit cost), any U.S. tariff policy changes, and iPhone cycle demand in major markets.

Key takeaways#

Apple delivered FY2024 revenue $391.04B (+2.02% YoY) and generated $108.81B of free cash flow while executing a strategic shift to manufacture the initial iPhone 17 run in India for the U.S. launch. The company’s operating margins remain north of 31%, cash conversion is strong, and capital returns dominate allocation. The India pivot reduces tariff and geopolitical downside but introduces near‑term operational transition costs.

Conclusion — synthesis for investors#

Apple’s latest fiscal year reinforces the company’s profile as a high‑margin cash engine with disciplined capital allocation. The strategic pivot to India for iPhone 17 production is the most consequential operational development: it materially lowers tariff exposure for U.S. sales and accelerates supply‑chain diversification while creating short‑term transition costs. From a financial‑strategic perspective the shift is affordable — Apple’s free cash flow comfortably funds the investments and its large repurchase program — and it changes the risk profile by reducing asymmetric downside from geopolitical shocks. Investors should therefore view FY2024 results as confirmation of durable cash generation and disciplined returns, with the India manufacturing move as a structural de‑risking step whose full margin benefits will emerge over the medium term.

(All fiscal figures based on Apple’s FY2024 reported statements; strategic manufacturing details and market‑share statistics referenced from cited industry reporting linked in‑text: Hindustan Times, Tech in Asia, India Today.)

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